U.S. Water News Online
BRASILIA, Brazil -- A prolonged drought will sharply reduce
Brazil's next coffee harvest to around 28.9 million bags, the
The eagerly awaited official estimate represents a drop of about
28 percent from the original expectations of a record 40-million-bag
harvest in 2000-01. Still, it was better than the more pessimistic
private guesses of 25 million bags.
Brazil is the No. 1 producer and exporter of coffee, and a smaller
harvest usually means higher prices at cafes and supermarkets around
Coffee prices have soared in recent months, hitting a two-week
high of about $1.40 a pound before falling back.
The Agriculture Ministry said 23.1 million bags of the 2000-01
harvest will be arabica coffee and the rest will be the lower-grade
conillon variety. Each bag contains 60 kilos, or 130 pounds, of
The top producing state of Minas Gerais escaped the worst drought
damage, and output of arabica is expected to rise to 14.2 million
bags in 2000-01 from 13.86 million bags in the current crop.
But in Sao Paulo state, the arabica harvest will shrink to 3.4
million bags from 3.82 million bags this harvest. In neighboring
Parana state, production in 2000-01 is forecast at 2.2 million bags,
down from 2.37 million bags currently.
The government also revised its estimate for the 1999-2000 coffee
crop to 27.17 million bags, up 9.6 percent from its May estimate of
24.8 million bags.
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